UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 1-2
HJK Helsinki vs Molde FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
50.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
HJK
1 - 0
ILV
65%
22%
14%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
LAR
2 - 2
HJK
32%
26%
43%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
HJK
1 - 0
LAR
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
HJK
0 - 1
FCL
76%
17%
7%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
HON
1 - 1
HJK
31%
28%
41%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Molde FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
MFK
5 - 1
S08
71%
17%
12%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
VIF
0 - 4
MFK
24%
23%
53%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
MFK
3 - 1
S08
65%
18%
17%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
MFK
2 - 0
BBS
54%
22%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
BOG
2 - 2
MFK
51%
22%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |