UCL Qualifying First and second round Final
Global 2-1
HJK Helsinki vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.2%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
32.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
TPS
0 - 1
HJK
35%
29%
36%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1998 |
TPS
1 - 1
HJK
34%
29%
37%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1998 |
PYE
0 - 3
HJK
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 1998 |
HJK
1 - 1
MYP
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 1998 |
HJK
2 - 0
PYE
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1998 |
LHA
0 - 0
MET
34%
29%
37%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1998 |
MET
1 - 0
LYO
48%
26%
26%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
TFC
0 - 1
MET
32%
29%
40%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1998 |
MET
3 - 2
NAN
49%
26%
25%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1998 |
GUI
0 - 1
MET
28%
30%
42%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |