UCL Qualifying First round Final
Global 2-0
HJK Helsinki vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2004 |
FCJ
0 - 0
HJK
25%
26%
50%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2004 |
LIN
0 - 1
HJK
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2004 |
ROP
2 - 0
HJK
19%
25%
56%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2004 |
HJK
3 - 2
TPS
69%
20%
11%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2004 |
HJK
3 - 0
HAM
74%
18%
9%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2004 |
LIN
0 - 1
HJK
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
LIN
2 - 1
GLE
51%
25%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
LAR
0 - 3
LIN
27%
25%
48%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2004 |
LIN
5 - 0
NEW
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
INS
0 - 0
LIN
36%
26%
39%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |