HJK Helsinki vs KuPS Kuopio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
26.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
11º
4º
30
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 44 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 42 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
|
3º
|
30 | 40 |
3º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 37 |
4º
|
35.5% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 36 |
5º
|
40% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 31 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 29 |
7º
|
30.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 26 |
8º
|
30.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 23 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 21 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 20 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 17 |
12º
|
57% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
97.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2025 |
HJK
2 - 1
JAP
73%
17%
11%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
IFK
0 - 4
HJK
23%
26%
51%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2025 |
HJK
4 - 2
SEI
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
HJK
4 - 1
KOO
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
FFJ
0 - 3
HJK
24%
25%
51%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
KuPS Kuopio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2025 |
TPV
0 - 2
KUO
11%
18%
71%
|
75 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
KUO
0 - 2
VAA
40%
25%
35%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
ILV
3 - 0
KUO
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
HAK
1 - 3
KUO
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
KUO
3 - 0
KOO
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |