HJK Helsinki vs FC KTP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
11º
4º
10
8º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 44 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 42 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 40 |
3º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 37 |
4º
|
35.5% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 36 |
5º
|
40% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 31 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 29 |
7º
|
30.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 26 |
8º
|
30.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 23 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 21 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 20 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
|
12º
|
10 | 17 |
12º
|
57% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
97.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
FFJ
0 - 3
HJK
24%
25%
51%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
INT
1 - 1
HJK
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
HJK
3 - 1
VAA
38%
26%
37%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2025 |
HJK
0 - 1
GNI
50%
25%
26%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
SEI
1 - 0
HJK
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC KTP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
KUO
3 - 0
KOO
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
JIP
1 - 1
KOO
28%
22%
50%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
KOO
1 - 3
OUL
43%
24%
32%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
FFJ
2 - 3
KOO
32%
24%
45%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
KOO
0 - 5
ILV
29%
26%
45%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |