HJK Helsinki vs Ilves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
13.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
3º
1º
20
3º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 54 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 50 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 46 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 42 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 41 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 38 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 32 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 29 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 28 |
10º
|
40.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 19 |
12º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
LAR
2 - 2
HJK
32%
26%
43%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
HJK
1 - 0
LAR
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
HJK
0 - 1
FCL
76%
17%
7%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
HON
1 - 1
HJK
31%
28%
41%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2023 |
HAK
1 - 1
HJK
25%
27%
49%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
ILV
0 - 0
IFK
60%
23%
18%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
KOO
0 - 0
ILV
32%
27%
41%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
VJS
0 - 4
ILV
11%
18%
71%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
ILV
1 - 1
SEI
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2023 |
INT
2 - 1
ILV
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |