Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 2-3
HJK Helsinki vs IFK Göteborg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
35.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
INT
0 - 0
HJK
23%
26%
52%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
GÖT
1 - 2
HJK
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
HJK
4 - 2
PK3
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
HJK
1 - 0
BER
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
ILV
1 - 0
HJK
21%
25%
54%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
IFK Göteborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
JON
1 - 1
GÖT
19%
24%
57%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
GÖT
1 - 2
HJK
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
GÖT
2 - 1
JON
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
GÖT
0 - 0
PGL
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
ELF
1 - 1
GÖT
46%
25%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |