UCL Qualifying First Round Final
Global 5-2
HJK Helsinki vs HB Tórshavn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2019 |
HIF
0 - 2
HJK
17%
25%
58%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
HJK
1 - 1
KUO
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2019 |
IFK
0 - 2
HJK
24%
26%
50%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2019 |
HJK
0 - 1
HON
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
VIF
4 - 1
HJK
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
HB Tórshavn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2019 |
HBT
5 - 0
ARG
88%
9%
3%
|
76 | 46 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
SEG
0 - 3
HBT
16%
26%
58%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
IFF
1 - 5
HBT
19%
26%
56%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
HBT
6 - 4
EBS
85%
11%
4%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2019 |
VIK
1 - 0
HBT
32%
27%
40%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |