Q. Europa League Preliminary Round Final
Global 0-5
HJK Helsinki vs Gomel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
INT
0 - 1
HJK
36%
27%
38%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
HJK
2 - 0
ALL
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2002 |
GOM
1 - 0
HJK
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
KUO
0 - 1
HJK
26%
27%
47%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2002 |
HJK
1 - 0
TAM
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Gomel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
NEM
2 - 1
GOM
52%
25%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2002 |
GOM
1 - 0
HJK
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
GOM
0 - 2
TAR
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
DIN
2 - 1
GOM
32%
26%
42%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2002 |
GOM
1 - 1
DNM
40%
26%
35%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |