Q. Europa League Play-offs Final
Global 1-5
HJK Helsinki vs FK Krasnodar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
42.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
HJK
1 - 1
HIF
64%
22%
15%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
KRA
5 - 1
HJK
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
IFK
5 - 1
HJK
40%
24%
36%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
HJK
1 - 0
FCL
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
AST
4 - 3
HJK
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FK Krasnodar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
KRA
0 - 0
MOR
71%
18%
12%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
KRA
5 - 1
HJK
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
ZEN
0 - 2
KRA
47%
25%
28%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2015 |
KRA
1 - 1
KUB
59%
23%
18%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2015 |
SBR
3 - 3
KRA
34%
26%
40%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |