Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 2-6
HJK Helsinki vs Fenerbahçe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
47.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
FCL
0 - 1
HJK
27%
27%
46%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
FEN
1 - 0
HJK
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
HJK
1 - 0
IFK
81%
14%
5%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
HJK
3 - 0
FKN
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
KOO
0 - 1
HJK
12%
21%
67%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
FEN
2 - 0
ANT
78%
15%
7%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
FEN
1 - 0
HJK
66%
19%
15%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
ADA
0 - 1
FEN
28%
25%
47%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
GIR
1 - 3
FEN
18%
25%
57%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
FEN
1 - 1
DYN
44%
24%
32%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |