HJK Helsinki vs FC Lahti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
7.2%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
3º
1º
22
3º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 54 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 50 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 46 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 42 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 41 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 38 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 32 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 29 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 28 |
10º
|
40.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 19 |
12º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
HON
1 - 1
HJK
31%
28%
41%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2023 |
HAK
1 - 1
HJK
25%
27%
49%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
HJK
1 - 0
KOO
73%
18%
10%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
FCL
1 - 2
HJK
15%
25%
60%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
HJK
0 - 0
SEI
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lahti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
FCL
3 - 4
KUO
16%
26%
59%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2023 |
KOO
2 - 0
FCL
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
FCL
1 - 0
HAK
27%
26%
47%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
FCL
1 - 2
HJK
15%
25%
60%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
ILV
2 - 2
FCL
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |