Q. Europa League Third Round Final
Global 3-3
HJK Helsinki vs Riga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
28.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
HJK
4 - 0
FCL
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 1
HJK
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
HJK
2 - 1
CRV
23%
24%
53%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
HJK
1 - 1
VAA
78%
16%
7%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
CRV
2 - 0
HJK
72%
17%
11%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
RIG
1 - 2
CAR
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 1
HJK
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 1
PGL
45%
27%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
PGL
3 - 2
CAR
46%
26%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
CAR
4 - 0
BFC
72%
19%
10%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |