Q. Europa League 4th Round Final
Global 0-6
HJK Helsinki vs Beşiktaş analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
37.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
FCL
0 - 1
HJK
29%
27%
44%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2010 |
BJK
2 - 0
HJK
63%
22%
16%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
HJK
0 - 1
HON
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
OUL
1 - 1
HJK
27%
27%
46%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2010 |
HJK
1 - 2
PAR
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Beşiktaş
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
BJK
0 - 2
IST
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2010 |
BJK
2 - 0
HJK
63%
22%
16%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
BUC
0 - 1
BJK
25%
26%
50%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 2
BJK
57%
24%
19%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2010 |
BJK
3 - 0
VKP
58%
23%
18%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |