Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 2-1
HJK Helsinki vs Beroe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
ILV
1 - 0
HJK
21%
25%
54%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
BER
1 - 1
HJK
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
HJK
2 - 0
PSK
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
HJK
1 - 1
ATL
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 2
HJK
28%
23%
49%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Beroe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
BER
1 - 1
HJK
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
RAD
0 - 2
BER
33%
27%
40%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
BER
0 - 0
RAD
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
BER
2 - 1
LSO
43%
28%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
LUD
0 - 2
BER
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |