UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 1-2
HJK Helsinki vs BATE Borisov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
HON
1 - 2
HJK
34%
26%
40%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
BAT
0 - 0
HJK
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
HJK
3 - 1
VIK
68%
18%
14%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
HJK
2 - 1
TPS
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2018 |
VIK
1 - 2
HJK
29%
23%
48%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
BATE Borisov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
BAT
0 - 0
HJK
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
BAT
2 - 0
MIN
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
SMO
2 - 3
BAT
22%
25%
53%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
ZOR
1 - 2
BAT
21%
22%
58%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2018 |
BAT
2 - 1
TOR
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |