Hitchin Town vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.5%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
7.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hitchin Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
AFT
0 - 5
HIT
25%
23%
53%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
HIT
2 - 3
WHI
60%
21%
20%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2013 |
STA
2 - 1
HIT
67%
19%
15%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
HIT
1 - 1
BUR
30%
24%
46%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2013 |
HIT
0 - 1
WIN
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
BID
4 - 2
BAS
77%
15%
8%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 2
BUR
13%
19%
68%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2013 |
HEM
10 - 0
BAS
87%
9%
4%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 1
CHE
13%
20%
67%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 3
BAN
20%
22%
58%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |