Hitchin Town vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
20%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hitchin Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2013 |
HIT
0 - 1
LEA
31%
25%
44%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
BAN
0 - 4
HIT
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
HIT
4 - 0
AFT
24%
23%
53%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +4 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 0
HIT
64%
20%
16%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2013 |
HIT
2 - 2
STN
36%
23%
41%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 1
BED
33%
25%
43%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
BAS
3 - 1
KET
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 0
CAM
26%
25%
49%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
AFT
2 - 0
BAS
72%
16%
12%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
FRO
1 - 1
BAS
39%
26%
35%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |