Hitchin Town vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
12.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hitchin Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
BED
1 - 3
HIT
16%
21%
63%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
HIT
6 - 2
CIR
68%
18%
14%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
STA
4 - 4
HIT
28%
24%
48%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
HIT
0 - 1
EVE
67%
20%
13%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2011 |
HIT
3 - 0
HEM
69%
18%
13%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
SWI
1 - 2
BAS
53%
23%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
BAS
2 - 1
RED
63%
20%
17%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
OXF
3 - 0
BAS
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
BAS
0 - 3
BAN
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
BAS
3 - 3
WEY
53%
23%
25%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |