Hitchin Town vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
40.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hitchin Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
HIT
3 - 3
BAN
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
CIR
2 - 3
HIT
28%
27%
45%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2008 |
TIV
1 - 0
HIT
48%
26%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
HIT
2 - 2
BED
58%
23%
20%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2008 |
HIT
2 - 2
KIN
25%
25%
50%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2008 |
BRO
0 - 0
BAS
26%
26%
48%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
BAS
1 - 1
RUG
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2008 |
BAS
4 - 3
TBA
44%
26%
30%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
BAS
2 - 3
HEM
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
TBA
4 - 1
BAS
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |