Histon vs Cray Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Histon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 0
HIS
42%
25%
34%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2014 |
HIS
1 - 0
DOR
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
BEL
2 - 3
HIS
57%
22%
22%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
DUN
1 - 3
HIS
68%
18%
14%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
HIS
2 - 1
HUN
33%
25%
42%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Cray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
TIL
2 - 0
CRA
37%
24%
40%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
CRA
3 - 0
FAV
30%
24%
46%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +4 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
WAL
2 - 2
CRA
68%
18%
14%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
CRA
3 - 3
AVE
23%
22%
55%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CRA
2 - 0
HAS
37%
25%
38%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +2 |