Histon vs AFC Wimbledon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
67.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Histon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2011 |
HIS
0 - 1
DAR
19%
26%
55%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
GAT
2 - 0
HIS
71%
18%
11%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2011 |
HIS
0 - 2
RUS
23%
25%
53%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
HIS
0 - 3
FOR
35%
25%
41%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
YOR
1 - 0
HIS
64%
22%
14%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
CAM
1 - 2
AFC
30%
25%
45%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
AFC
2 - 0
BAR
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
AFC
1 - 0
RUS
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
CRA
3 - 1
AFC
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
AFC
1 - 2
KID
51%
25%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |