Histon vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
35.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Histon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
BUR
1 - 2
HIS
71%
17%
12%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
SOH
2 - 3
HIS
69%
17%
14%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
HIS
1 - 3
HEY
13%
18%
69%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
DES
1 - 3
HIS
17%
18%
66%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
HIS
0 - 7
KIN
14%
20%
66%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
YEL
2 - 1
FEL
39%
22%
40%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
YEL
0 - 1
FEL
47%
21%
32%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
CTF
3 - 1
YEL
76%
15%
9%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
CTF
0 - 1
YEL
79%
13%
8%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
YEL
3 - 4
BUR
35%
24%
41%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |