Hirtshals vs Brabrand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
83.4%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
12.7%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.5%
0-4
8.9%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
12%
0-5
4.9%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.4%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hirtshals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2017 |
HIR
2 - 3
KJE
5%
11%
85%
|
11 | 54 | 43 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
HIR
0 - 3
JAM
10%
16%
74%
|
12 | 52 | 40 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
HIR
2 - 4
SKI
11%
18%
71%
|
12 | 60 | 48 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2010 |
HIR
3 - 1
BIR
57%
21%
21%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Brabrand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
BRA
1 - 1
JAM
41%
26%
33%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
KOL
1 - 4
BRA
42%
23%
36%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
VFF
3 - 3
BRA
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2018 |
BRA
2 - 1
ROS
32%
26%
42%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
LFA
1 - 2
BRA
58%
22%
20%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |