Hirnyk vs Illichivets II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hirnyk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
STA
2 - 0
BAR
59%
23%
18%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 0
OKM
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
OLI
1 - 5
BAR
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +3 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
OLI
4 - 0
BAR
72%
18%
11%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 3
SHA
52%
25%
22%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Illichivets II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
ILL
2 - 1
MET
55%
22%
23%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
KRE
2 - 0
ILL
67%
20%
14%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
STA
2 - 1
ILL
74%
17%
10%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
SEV
0 - 0
ILL
41%
27%
32%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
ILL
0 - 3
OKM
50%
25%
26%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -2 |