Hinojosa vs Rud La Carlota analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
47.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hinojosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
REC
2 - 1
HIN
21%
23%
57%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
HIN
1 - 2
PAR
79%
14%
7%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
DON
0 - 3
HIN
14%
19%
67%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
HIN
2 - 0
VIL
45%
26%
29%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
EGA
6 - 1
HIN
32%
24%
43%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Rud La Carlota
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
RUD
0 - 0
SAL
44%
24%
31%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
REC
2 - 2
RUD
18%
22%
60%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
RUD
2 - 1
PAR
79%
14%
7%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
RUD
3 - 0
PAL
60%
21%
19%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
MON
2 - 2
RUD
32%
24%
44%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |