Hinojos vs CD Cerreño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
58.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hinojos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
6 - 1
HIN
84%
10%
6%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
HIN
0 - 3
CAN
46%
20%
34%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ALM
2 - 1
HIN
36%
21%
42%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
HIN
0 - 3
ALO
52%
21%
28%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
DCA
3 - 2
HIN
18%
19%
64%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
CD Cerreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CAN
4 - 0
CDC
23%
21%
56%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CDC
1 - 0
ALO
72%
16%
12%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MAZ
1 - 0
CDC
19%
20%
62%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CDC
2 - 1
DCA
79%
13%
9%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
CDC
4 - 3
SAG
88%
8%
4%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |