Hinckley United vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
38.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hinckley United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
STN
3 - 0
HIN
72%
15%
13%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
HIN
0 - 3
RUS
19%
21%
60%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
HIN
2 - 2
WEY
22%
22%
56%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
HIN
1 - 1
BAN
26%
23%
51%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
ARL
3 - 1
HIN
78%
14%
8%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 4
HEM
18%
22%
60%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 0
MON
50%
23%
28%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
COR
3 - 1
BAS
63%
19%
17%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
CHE
4 - 1
BAS
72%
18%
10%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 1
BID
40%
24%
35%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |