Himik Devnya vs Dunav Ruse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
60.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Himik Devnya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
HIM
2 - 0
CHE
40%
25%
35%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
BEN
2 - 3
HIM
78%
13%
9%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
HIM
4 - 3
VEL
43%
24%
33%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SEP
4 - 0
HIM
67%
19%
14%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
HIM
2 - 1
BOT
59%
22%
20%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Dunav Ruse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 0
SEP
71%
19%
11%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 1
BEN
72%
18%
11%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VEL
0 - 2
DUN
14%
23%
63%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
DUN
4 - 1
CHE
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
BOT
0 - 0
DUN
12%
21%
67%
|
50 | 15 | 35 | 0 |