Himara vs Vlora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
32.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Himara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
MAM
1 - 2
HIM
55%
25%
20%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
HIM
1 - 4
KUK
20%
26%
54%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ADA
1 - 2
HIM
67%
19%
14%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
HIM
2 - 0
GRA
42%
26%
32%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
GRA
0 - 0
HIM
66%
21%
14%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Vlora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
VLO
2 - 1
ELB
34%
25%
41%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
VLO
1 - 0
MAM
37%
26%
38%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
KUK
6 - 1
VLO
77%
15%
8%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
VLO
0 - 0
ADA
36%
26%
38%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
GRA
1 - 0
VLO
42%
26%
32%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |