Hillingdon Borough vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hillingdon Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
TIL
0 - 0
HIL
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2008 |
CHE
2 - 0
HIL
27%
23%
50%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -2 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
HIL
0 - 4
RED
30%
26%
44%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
AND
5 - 0
HIL
35%
23%
42%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2008 |
HIL
1 - 4
FAR
17%
21%
62%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
WIN
5 - 1
WHI
68%
18%
15%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2008 |
WIN
1 - 0
CHA
35%
26%
39%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
GRE
1 - 4
WIN
64%
21%
15%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
DAR
1 - 0
WIN
83%
12%
5%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
WIN
1 - 1
WAL
54%
22%
24%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |