Hilden vs SF Baumberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
26.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
3º
12º
4º
70
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
57.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
48.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 53 |
7º
|
4.5% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
10º
|
38% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
36% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 38 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 36 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 35 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
17º
|
81.5% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hilden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
STR
0 - 1
HIL
16%
21%
63%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
HIL
2 - 1
KLE
67%
19%
14%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
TDV
2 - 2
HIL
34%
24%
42%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
HIL
4 - 0
TEU
79%
15%
7%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
HAM
1 - 1
HIL
11%
17%
72%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
SF Baumberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SFB
4 - 0
SCH
53%
22%
25%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
STR
1 - 2
SFB
28%
24%
49%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SFB
2 - 2
GRA
39%
24%
37%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
KLE
3 - 1
SFB
23%
22%
55%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SFB
2 - 1
MFC
80%
12%
8%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | +1 |