Hilal Obayed vs Al-Ahly Merowe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
22.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hilal Obayed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
ASH
2 - 0
OBA
47%
26%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
OBA
0 - 0
ALA
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
HAY
0 - 2
OBA
43%
27%
30%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
OBA
2 - 0
ALA
54%
25%
20%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
OBA
0 - 2
ALM
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Al-Ahly Merowe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
TUT
1 - 2
AAS
62%
22%
16%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
HAW
4 - 2
AAS
44%
28%
28%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
AAS
0 - 0
WNK
35%
26%
39%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
OBA
2 - 2
AAS
57%
24%
20%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
ASH
2 - 2
AAS
58%
23%
18%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |