Hilal Obayed vs Al-Ahly Merowe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hilal Obayed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
ALA
2 - 0
OBA
26%
28%
45%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2019 |
OBA
3 - 1
KHA
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
HAW
0 - 0
OBA
28%
28%
44%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
ALA
4 - 0
OBA
19%
26%
54%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2019 |
OBA
1 - 2
OMD
60%
23%
18%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Al-Ahly Merowe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
AAS
0 - 2
KHA
32%
28%
40%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
AAS
1 - 1
HAW
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
OMD
2 - 1
AAS
62%
21%
18%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
AAS
2 - 0
ALA
48%
26%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
AAS
0 - 0
ALM
11%
23%
67%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | +1 |