Hilal Obayed vs Al-Ahly Merowe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hilal Obayed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
HAY
2 - 3
OBA
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
OBA
1 - 0
MER
67%
20%
12%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
OBA
1 - 1
ALA
52%
24%
23%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +19 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
ALM
0 - 0
OBA
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
ALH
3 - 0
OBA
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Al-Ahly Merowe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
AAS
1 - 2
ALH
19%
27%
54%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
AAS
0 - 0
KHA
43%
27%
31%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
ALM
5 - 0
AAS
63%
20%
18%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +8 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
HAY
1 - 0
AAS
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
ALH
3 - 0
AAS
58%
21%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |