Hilal El-Fasher vs Al Ahli Khartoum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hilal El-Fasher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
HIL
1 - 0
ALA
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
ELA
1 - 1
HIL
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
ALN
2 - 1
HIL
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
HIL
0 - 0
KHA
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Al Ahli Khartoum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2014 |
ALH
2 - 0
ALA
65%
20%
16%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
ALA
2 - 0
ALA
47%
26%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
ALA
0 - 4
ALM
45%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
ALA
1 - 1
ALA
52%
26%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
ALA
0 - 1
ALN
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |