HIK vs BGA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
8.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HIK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
B93
0 - 3
HIK
48%
23%
29%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
HIK
1 - 2
SKJ
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
HVI
5 - 1
HIK
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
HIK
1 - 2
VAN
64%
20%
16%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
HIK
4 - 1
SCE
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
BGA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BGA
0 - 2
SOL
25%
24%
51%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
HER
7 - 1
BGA
77%
15%
9%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
BGA
0 - 7
RIS
29%
24%
47%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -3 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SVE
2 - 1
BGA
73%
16%
11%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
BGA
1 - 1
BFR
21%
23%
56%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +1 |