Altiplano y del Pacífico vs Defensor Tacna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
30%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altiplano y del Pacífico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 0
APA
92%
7%
1%
|
11 | 70 | 59 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
APA
1 - 1
VAL
5%
12%
83%
|
10 | 71 | 61 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
DET
1 - 1
APA
30%
21%
50%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
APA
1 - 0
DRJ
15%
17%
68%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Defensor Tacna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
DET
0 - 3
EGB
14%
21%
66%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
EGB
1 - 1
DET
66%
18%
16%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
DET
1 - 1
APA
30%
21%
50%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
NAC
4 - 1
DET
51%
21%
28%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |