Hiiumaa vs Vaprus Pärnu II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
60.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hiiumaa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SSP
4 - 2
HII
46%
20%
33%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HII
0 - 1
KEI
40%
21%
39%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HII
1 - 3
TAU
58%
20%
22%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
FCH
1 - 3
HII
22%
18%
60%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
HII
3 - 4
FLO
37%
21%
42%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
PAR
4 - 0
SSP
71%
16%
13%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
KEI
1 - 1
PAR
17%
19%
64%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
PAR
9 - 0
TAU
76%
15%
10%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 1
PAR
22%
20%
58%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
PAR
5 - 1
RAP
84%
11%
5%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |