Hiiumaa vs Vaprus Pärnu II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.5%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.2%
62.2%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
18%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hiiumaa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
HII
3 - 1
JKP
84%
10%
6%
|
30 | 11 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
KEI
1 - 1
HII
28%
19%
53%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
HII
2 - 2
TAB
53%
21%
26%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
JKT
2 - 3
HII
83%
11%
6%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
HII
3 - 4
HLA
24%
20%
56%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
SJL
0 - 4
PAR
41%
21%
37%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SSP
1 - 2
PAR
19%
17%
64%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
RAP
3 - 2
PAR
12%
15%
73%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 1
VAN
57%
20%
23%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
KOS
3 - 4
PAR
13%
16%
72%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |