Hiiumaa vs Paide III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
61.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hiiumaa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
HLA
1 - 3
HII
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
VAN
4 - 2
HII
50%
20%
30%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
HII
3 - 2
TAZ
31%
20%
48%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
TAB
1 - 2
HII
36%
21%
42%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
PAR
10 - 1
HII
68%
18%
14%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Paide III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 1
PAI
17%
19%
64%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 1
TSA
88%
8%
4%
|
50 | 12 | 38 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
SSP
0 - 2
PAI
23%
21%
57%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
PAI
5 - 2
KEI
89%
8%
4%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
TAU
2 - 1
PAI
14%
18%
69%
|
51 | 23 | 28 | -2 |