Q. Europa League 1st Round Final
Global 6-9
Hibernians vs Sarajevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
32.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hibernians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
SAR
5 - 2
HIB
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
QOR
1 - 3
HIB
19%
20%
61%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2012 |
HIB
2 - 1
HAM
83%
11%
6%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 2
HIB
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
HIB
3 - 0
BAL
80%
14%
6%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
SAR
5 - 2
HIB
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
SAR
2 - 2
BBL
53%
26%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
ZVI
2 - 0
SAR
32%
28%
41%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
SAR
2 - 2
ZEL
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
OSA
1 - 0
SAR
30%
28%
42%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |