UCL Qualifying 2nd Round Final
Global 3-6
Hibernians vs Maccabi Tel Aviv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
37.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hibernians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
BIR
2 - 0
HIB
33%
23%
44%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
QOR
0 - 2
HIB
14%
17%
69%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
HIB
3 - 1
VAL
52%
23%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
BIR
0 - 0
HIB
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
FLO
1 - 3
HIB
17%
21%
62%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Maccabi Tel Aviv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2015 |
ANZ
1 - 1
MTA
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2015 |
MTA
3 - 0
VOZ
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2015 |
MTA
0 - 2
MPT
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2015 |
BEI
3 - 0
MTA
22%
26%
52%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
HBS
2 - 6
MTA
38%
25%
38%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |