Hibernians vs Kercem Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.5%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
14.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
16%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.2%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
3.3%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hibernians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ZEB
0 - 2
HIB
12%
21%
67%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
HIB
1 - 2
BAL
61%
23%
17%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
GZI
2 - 0
HIB
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
HIB
2 - 0
MOS
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
HIB
3 - 1
ZUR
82%
13%
6%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Kercem Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ATT
2 - 8
KER
56%
22%
22%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
KER
3 - 2
MAR
35%
25%
41%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
MAR
5 - 2
KER
67%
19%
14%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
KER
0 - 3
MAR
17%
20%
63%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
KER
1 - 4
SIR
12%
18%
70%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | -1 |