UCL Qualifying First Round Final
Global 0-5
Hibernians vs FC Flora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
52.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hibernians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
FLO
2 - 0
HIB
59%
21%
20%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2021 |
GZI
3 - 0
HIB
41%
23%
36%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2021 |
BIR
3 - 1
HIB
43%
24%
34%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
HAM
1 - 0
HIB
41%
25%
34%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
PAT
0 - 1
HIB
17%
20%
62%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
FC Flora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
FLO
2 - 0
HIB
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
FLO
3 - 3
PAI
55%
23%
23%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2021 |
FLO
1 - 0
KAL
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2021 |
TAM
0 - 3
FLO
9%
17%
74%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
FLO
2 - 0
PAR
85%
12%
4%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | 0 |