Q. Europa League Preliminary Round Final
Global 2-9
Hibernians vs Spartak Trnava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
32.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hibernians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
HIB
1 - 3
SLI
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
HIB
1 - 4
BIR
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
BAL
4 - 4
HIB
15%
20%
65%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
VAL
3 - 2
HIB
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
HIB
2 - 2
MOS
68%
18%
14%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Trnava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
TNV
1 - 2
SBR
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2014 |
DAC
1 - 0
TNV
24%
26%
49%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2014 |
NIT
3 - 0
TNV
26%
26%
48%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
TNV
4 - 0
DUK
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
ZMO
1 - 2
TNV
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |