Hibernians vs Birkirkara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
24.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
2º
10º
6º
50
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hibernians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
HIB
20%
23%
58%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
HIB
2 - 1
GUD
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SLU
2 - 3
HIB
15%
22%
63%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
HIB
1 - 0
ZEB
71%
19%
11%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 2
HIB
23%
25%
52%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Birkirkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BIR
1 - 2
MOS
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
BIR
24%
26%
50%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BIR
0 - 0
HAM
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
GUD
1 - 1
BIR
25%
28%
47%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BIR
3 - 0
VAL
47%
27%
27%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |