Hibernian FC vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
23.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
3º
9º
5º
44
4º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
92 | 92 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
79 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hibernian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
HIB
1 - 2
STJ
57%
25%
19%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CEL
6 - 1
HIB
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 0
HIB
29%
26%
45%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HIB
1 - 0
MHE
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ROS
0 - 2
HIB
29%
26%
44%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
STM
2 - 1
DUN
42%
30%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
STM
0 - 0
KIL
45%
30%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
GLA
4 - 0
STM
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
STM
2 - 1
LIV
33%
29%
38%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
STM
2 - 0
CEL
13%
20%
68%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |