Hibernian FC vs St. Johnstone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
18.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
3º
9º
5º
33
5º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
92 | 92 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
79 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hibernian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CEL
6 - 1
HIB
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 0
HIB
29%
26%
45%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HIB
1 - 0
MHE
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ROS
0 - 2
HIB
29%
26%
44%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
HIB
3 - 1
ABE
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
LIV
1 - 0
STJ
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
STJ
1 - 2
CEL
12%
20%
68%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
KIL
2 - 1
STJ
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 2
STJ
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
STJ
0 - 0
ROS
42%
29%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |