Hibernian FC vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
29.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
3º
9º
5º
48
3º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
92 | 92 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
79 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hibernian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 1
HIB
28%
27%
45%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
HIB
1 - 3
MHE
62%
23%
16%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CEL
3 - 1
HIB
68%
18%
13%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
HIB
1 - 4
GLA
30%
25%
45%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
LIV
1 - 4
HIB
33%
28%
39%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
HOM
0 - 2
STM
58%
23%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
KIL
2 - 1
HOM
28%
27%
45%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ABE
3 - 0
HOM
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
HOM
0 - 3
CEL
28%
22%
50%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
CEL
3 - 1
HOM
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |